Long time coming this blog! Unfortunately life has got in the way of a number of things over the past few months, but it appears as though we are on the up now, so hopefully this blog can become a regular thing once again. I had scheduled a new book for the jumps season, but unfortunately time ran out and I have not been able to complete this. The flat book was a huge success, and I am aiming to bring a 2019 version of that out next year. I aim to blog more often through the jump season with no book, and you will see a little ‘Subscribe to Blog via Email’ button somewhere over there >>>>>>
This will send you an email when a new blog is out, so you will hopefully come back and read.
Anyway onto the action at Wetherby, this looks to be a good card and the first of two days we have up in West Yorkshire. I’m lucky enough to be attending both days, so let’s hope for a few winners on the two blogs I’ll be doing.
The market for the first race could well be skewed by the Gordon Elliott runner, who will be extremely popular with punters I am sure. The run last time out was good, and the step back in trip should certainly help, but I could envisage this one going off at 6/4 tomorrow, and at that price its not for me. Lower down the weights, Love At Dawn looks to be an interesting contender over this kind of trip this season, after running the best race of her career when upped in trip for her final start last season. Of the three hurdle runs last season, two came on heavy and one came on soft so it is hard to judge whether the ground is something else that could bring further improvement too.
It’s not a race to get too involved in, but at 11/1 there are reasons to think Love At Dawn can run a nice race.
I remember going to this meeting last year and coming away thinking I’d seen an exceptional horse in Guitar Pete. i then went onto follow him for most of the season after that run too. He comes here with 10lb more to carry than last season, but as far as listed handicaps go, this isn’t the greatest. This is certainly the easiest race he has been in since winning last year, and it would be no surprise to see him go very close, even off this higher mark. He’s had a spin on the flat recently to put him spot on and looks to be the bet of the day for me. He may not saunter home by seven lengths like he did last season, but he looks to have a cracking chance here and at 4/1 he is a very fair price.
I respect the Nicholls horse coming up from the south, who did it easily enough last time out, and he rates the main danger. I like Dingo Dollar, but he’s a staying chaser and things will probably happen too quickly here for him. I don’t think today is the day, but I think Cracking Find is handicapped to win a couple of races this season.
The final one is just a small mention here, and that is to Blue Hussar in this race. Before I start with him, the favourite looks rock solid and if he comes here in the same form as at Cheltenham, there will be no stopping him. At bigger odds, I think eventually at some point we will see a resurgance from Blue Hussar over hurdles. He is a nice flat horse and the quicker than normal ground today may well be in his favour. He has done nothing wrong on the flat and kept his form well, but tumbled down the weights over hurdles. One day Micky Hammond will get him right, and he is worth a tiny interest at 25/1 just in case today is the day.